Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1.533686 1.762514 2.014030 2.311044 2.652308 3.032273 3.487643
2025-06-15 1.255118 1.565221 1.934737 2.407744 2.997669 3.709917 4.636448
2025-06-22 1.026139 1.372899 1.815833 2.423657 3.237349 4.290999 5.762518
2025-06-29 0.840659 1.196692 1.680220 2.385811 3.391424 4.776833 6.837468
2025-07-06 0.679185 1.021829 1.513335 2.271076 3.413243 5.076534 7.694253
2025-07-13 0.608715 0.963111 1.497433 2.363501 3.737424 5.842170 9.330281
2025-07-20 0.554682 0.919044 1.494028 2.469829 4.092189 6.695868 11.220798
2025-07-27 0.504876 0.872900 1.478640 2.551242 4.413629 7.534004 13.200989
2025-08-03 0.454416 0.817358 1.438577 2.582933 4.651829 8.260032 15.087658
2025-08-10 0.395937 0.738924 1.347804 2.511588 4.696509 8.652554 16.431533
2025-08-17 0.338873 0.654682 1.234838 2.382806 4.615798 8.803800 17.341965
2025-08-24 0.303219 0.605457 1.179119 2.352434 4.713374 9.292994 18.958206
2025-08-31 0.268245 0.554149 1.115385 2.303149 4.778195 9.748993 20.621625
2025-09-07 0.255825 0.546490 1.136311 2.427302 5.211842 10.999427 24.113725
2025-09-14 0.235510 0.519520 1.114470 2.459478 5.458275 11.900197 27.001829
2025-09-21 0.212234 0.482834 1.067269 2.430188 5.567253 12.523330 29.372481
2025-09-28 0.185384 0.434371 0.988069 2.318275 5.474876 12.690206 30.724236
2025-10-05 0.177054 0.427117 0.999492 2.415604 5.879016 14.037342 35.071877
2025-10-12 0.170151 0.422222 1.015571 2.526071 6.330163 15.556574 40.074459
2025-10-19 0.162036 0.413214 1.020676 2.610401 6.729178 17.005376 45.124116
2025-10-26 0.151641 0.397029 1.006189 2.643441 7.003186 18.182018 49.649167
2025-11-02 0.136727 0.367136 0.953611 2.570746 6.991664 18.628786 52.289467
2025-11-09 0.120623 0.331851 0.882604 2.439087 6.803264 18.584990 53.569132